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February 17, 2004

On to Super Tuesday

[Update:] Tenet under fire again?

Kerry has sewn up Wisconsin and Edwards has gotten the one-on-one fight he wants, so what's next?

Well as Instapundit, Prof. Glenn Reynolds says:

"We'll be hearing a lot about 'delegate-rich states' over the next few weeks."

Yeah. Of the 4,321 total delegates available in the *Democratic Primary, 1280 will be up for grabs in the 13 primaries that will take place between now and March 3rd. Though Mickey Kaus is running into a great deal of people telling him it is not possible for Edwards to get enough delegates to win, the numbers say the exact opposite. If Edwards grabs 60% of the available delegates left before March 3rd, and assuming Kerry grabs the other 40%, the total delegate count will look something similar to this after Super Tuesday:

Kerry: 1118
Edwards: 956

At that point, the myth of Kerry being the only Democrat strong enough to beat Bush would be farther away then Howard Dean's wife on the campaing trail. Add that to the fact that the primaries will then start taking place in Edwards' neck of the woods, and it looks like the possibility of him winning isn't all that ridiculous.

If Dean jumps on the Edwards bandwagon this could be one hell of a race; not to mention, good news all around for the Democrats (assuming Edwards and Kerry can keep from ripping each other too much).

*indicates that the total does not include unpledged delegates.

[Update:] You can get delegate counts here, here, and here.

[Update:] People who feel the same way: Oliver Willis, Andrew Sullivan, Klaus, Article Online

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» Surprise in Wisconsin from bergerblog
This link on Rooftop Report (courtesy of Kaus) shows that as long as Edwards pulls 40% of the Super Tuesday delegates, he will be running pretty close to Kerry. In such a situation, the March 9 primaries (Florida, Texas, Louisiana, Mississippi) favor Edwa [Read More]

Tracked on Feb 18, 2004 10:10:24 AM

» Have we Hit the Big Time? from Article Online
Whoa. I think I've hit the big time. No more waiting for the next sex scandal to come around--I've been mentioned in the same sentence as three of the Blogoshere's most popular figures, Oliver Willis, Andrew Sullivan, and Mickey Kaus!... [Read More]

Tracked on Feb 19, 2004 10:48:58 AM


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Go Edwards!

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